Tuesday, April 14, 2026
market intelligence
12 data sources · automated briefing
Bitcoin Surges Past $74,559
VIX at 19.1 · Fear & Greed at 12
Prices green while sentiment sits at Extreme Fear (12) — the disconnect between price action and fear is the story. HY spread at 2.94% — credit markets pricing complacency. Positioning divergence: SOL: retail 68% long vs whales 62% long. Capital rotating into Aave V3, Lido, Bitfinex.
technical analysis
Signal Dashboard
| Asset | Signal | Conv. | RSI 1h | RSI 4h | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | neutral | | 77 | 70 | ▲ +5.33% |
| ETH | bearish | | 82 | 73 | ▲ +8.31% |
| SOL | neutral | | 74 | 66 | ▲ +5.85% |
| ATOM | bullish | | 69 | 57 | ▲ +3.25% |
| INIT | bullish | | 59 | 49 | ▲ +4.58% |
derivatives
Futures Positioning
↗ shifting short — crowd getting fearful
↗ shifting short — crowd getting fearful
↗ shifting short — crowd getting fearful
federal reserve
Macro Intelligence
—
Dalio framework · Real rate = Fed Funds (—) − Breakeven (2.38%)
| Indicator | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 10Y-2Y Spread | 0.52% | +0.02 |
| Breakeven Inflation | 2.38% | +0.02 |
| Unemployment | 4.3% | -0.10 |
| Trade-Weighted USD | 118.8552 | -0.04 |
| HY Spread | 2.94% | +0.04 |
Market Sentiment
0 = extreme fear · 100 = extreme greed
Market Overview
Key Signals
Prediction Markets
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on-chain flow