Friday, April 24, 2026
market intelligence
12 data sources · automated briefing
Bitcoin Holds Steady at $78,273
VIX at 19.3 · real rates restrictive at 1.22% · Fear & Greed at 46
Sentiment neutral at 46. Tape waiting for a catalyst. Real rate at +1.22% (restrictive). Yield curve post-inversion normalization. HY spread at 2.84% — credit markets pricing complacency. Positioning divergence: BTC: retail 40% long vs whales 45% long. ETH: retail 66% long vs whales 56% long. SOL: retail 70% long vs whales 66% long. Capital rotating into Bitfinex.
technical analysis
Signal Dashboard
| Asset | Signal | Conv. | RSI 1h | RSI 4h | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | neutral | | 55 | 58 | ▲ +0.10% |
| ETH | neutral | | 47 | 48 | ▼ -1.81% |
| SOL | neutral | | 51 | 50 | ▼ -0.85% |
| ATOM | bullish | | 67 | 65 | ▲ +2.58% |
| INIT | neutral | | 46 | 41 | ▼ -3.95% |
derivatives
Futures Positioning
federal reserve
Macro Intelligence
Post-Inversion Watch
Dalio framework · Real rate = Fed Funds (3.64%) − Breakeven (2.42%)
| Indicator | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Funds Rate | 3.64% | +0.00 |
| 10Y-2Y Spread | 0.51% | +0.00 |
| Breakeven Inflation | 2.42% | +0.04 |
| Unemployment | 4.3% | -0.10 |
| Trade-Weighted USD | 118.0795 | -0.28 |
| HY Spread | 2.84% | -0.01 |
Market Sentiment
0 = extreme fear · 100 = extreme greed
Market Overview
Key Signals
Prediction Markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
7% Yes · Vol: $2.2M
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
30% Yes · Vol: $1.1M
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
89% Yes · Vol: $887,137
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
94% Yes · Vol: $804,829
on-chain flow