Friday, May 08, 2026

market intelligence

12 data sources · automated briefing

morning edition updated 06:55 BKK vol. I · no. 128
BTC
$80,014
▼ -1.63%
ETH
$2,292
▼ -2.38%
SOL
$88.38
▼ -0.75%
F&G
47
Neutral
VIX
17.1
S&P
732

Bitcoin Dips to $80,014

VIX at 17.1 · Fear & Greed at 47

Sentiment neutral at 47. Tape waiting for a catalyst. HY spread at 2.75% — credit markets pricing complacency. Positioning divergence: ETH: retail 72% long vs whales 50% long. SOL: retail 64% long vs whales 68% long.

technical analysis

Signal Dashboard

Asset Signal Conv. RSI 1h RSI 4h 24h
BTC neutral
45
40 47 ▼ -1.73%
ETH neutral
37
34 39 ▼ -2.48%
SOL neutral
43
49 58 ▼ -0.83%
ATOM neutral
45
45 47 ▼ -0.79%
INIT bearish
12
74 86 ▲ +9.93%

derivatives

Futures Positioning

BTC OI: $8.3B · flat
Retail
43%
57%
Whales
41%
59%
ETH OI: $5.2B · flat
Retail
72%
28%
Whales
50%
50%
⚠ notable divergence (retail: 2.58, whales: 1.00)
SOL OI: $935.0M · flat
Retail
64%
36%
Whales
68%
32%
⚠ notable divergence (retail: 1.78, whales: 2.13)

↗ shifting short — crowd getting fearful

federal reserve

Macro Intelligence

—

Real Rate— (stimulative)
Yield CurvePost-Inversion Normalization
HY Spread2.75%
Unemployment—

Dalio framework · Real rate = Fed Funds (3.64%) − Breakeven (—)

Indicator Value Change
Fed Funds Rate 3.64% +0.00
10Y-2Y Spread 0.49% +0.00
Trade-Weighted USD 118.3926 -0.28
HY Spread 2.75% -0.02

Market Sentiment

47
Neutral

0 = extreme fear · 100 = extreme greed

Market Overview

Total Market Cap $2.7T
BTC Dominance 58.4%
ETH Dominance 10.1%
10Y Yield 4.39%
Gold $0

Key Signals

⚠ ETH: notable divergence (retail: 2.58, whales: 1.00)
⚠ SOL: notable divergence (retail: 1.78, whales: 2.13)
↗ SOL retail shifting short — crowd getting fearful

Prediction Markets

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

18% Yes · Vol: $3.1M

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

33% Yes · Vol: $2.9M

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

53% Yes · Vol: $1.3M

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

23% Yes · Vol: $1.2M

on-chain flow

DEX Activity & Trending Pools

trending pools

HANTA / SOL
solana · $27.5M ▲ +1148.17%
UTYA / TON
ton · $1.8M ▲ +20.97%
MBGA / WBNB
bsc · $624,007 ▲ +153.69%
USDUC / SOL
solana · $6.2M ▼ -50.99%
MTONGA / TON 0.25%
ton · $1.5M ▼ -3.28%

defi tvl — top 8

Binance CEX $157.1B -1.2%
OKX $25.4B -0.81%
Lido $20.2B -4.5%
Bitfinex $19.5B -1.06%
SSV Network $16.8B -2.51%
Bybit $15.8B -1.33%
Robinhood $14.3B -1.93%
Aave V3 $14.3B -1.45%
Friday, May 08, 2026 · data from 12 sources · not financial advice