Sunday, May 10, 2026
market intelligence
12 data sources · automated briefing
Bitcoin Holds Steady at $80,656
VIX at 17.2 · real rates restrictive at 1.18% · Fear & Greed at 38
Sentiment neutral at 38. Tape waiting for a catalyst. Real rate at +1.18% (restrictive). Yield curve post-inversion normalization. HY spread at 2.79% — credit markets pricing complacency. Positioning divergence: ETH: retail 68% long vs whales 52% long. SOL: retail 58% long vs whales 65% long. Capital rotating into Aave V3.
technical analysis
Signal Dashboard
| Asset | Signal | Conv. | RSI 1h | RSI 4h | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | neutral | | 58 | 54 | ▲ +0.64% |
| ETH | neutral | | 61 | 52 | ▲ +0.90% |
| SOL | neutral | | 56 | 68 | ▲ +1.25% |
| ATOM | neutral | | 46 | 54 | ▼ -0.72% |
| INIT | neutral | | 58 | 67 | ▲ +6.97% |
derivatives
Futures Positioning
federal reserve
Macro Intelligence
Post-Inversion Watch
Dalio framework · Real rate = Fed Funds (3.63%) − Breakeven (2.45%)
| Indicator | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Funds Rate | 3.63% | -0.01 |
| 10Y-2Y Spread | 0.48% | -0.01 |
| Breakeven Inflation | 2.45% | +0.00 |
| Unemployment | 4.3% | +0.00 |
| Trade-Weighted USD | 118.3926 | -0.28 |
| HY Spread | 2.79% | +0.04 |
Market Sentiment
0 = extreme fear · 100 = extreme greed
Market Overview
Key Signals
Prediction Markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
28% Yes · Vol: $1.0M
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
16% Yes · Vol: $991,808
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
89% Yes · Vol: $361,548
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
9% Yes · Vol: $339,000
on-chain flow