Wednesday, May 13, 2026
market intelligence
12 data sources · automated briefing
Bitcoin Dips to $80,441
real rates restrictive at 1.16% · Fear & Greed at 49
Sentiment neutral at 49. Tape waiting for a catalyst. Real rate at +1.16% (restrictive). Yield curve post-inversion normalization. HY spread at 2.79% — credit markets pricing complacency. Positioning divergence: ETH: retail 75% long vs whales 57% long. SOL: retail 60% long vs whales 64% long.
technical analysis
Signal Dashboard
| Asset | Signal | Conv. | RSI 1h | RSI 4h | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | neutral | | 43 | 46 | ▼ -1.53% |
| ETH | neutral | | 37 | 38 | ▼ -2.73% |
| SOL | neutral | | 40 | 52 | ▼ -3.08% |
| ATOM | bullish | | 60 | 63 | ▲ +3.23% |
| INIT | neutral | | 54 | 54 | ▲ +2.26% |
derivatives
Futures Positioning
↗ shifting short — crowd getting fearful
federal reserve
Macro Intelligence
Post-Inversion Watch
Dalio framework · Real rate = Fed Funds (3.63%) − Breakeven (2.47%)
| Indicator | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Funds Rate | 3.63% | +0.00 |
| 10Y-2Y Spread | 0.46% | -0.01 |
| Breakeven Inflation | 2.47% | +0.00 |
| Unemployment | 4.3% | +0.00 |
| Trade-Weighted USD | 118.0392 | +0.03 |
| HY Spread | 2.79% | -0.02 |
Market Sentiment
0 = extreme fear · 100 = extreme greed
Market Overview
Key Signals
Prediction Markets
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Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?
7% Yes · Vol: $985,362
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
37% Yes · Vol: $729,266
on-chain flow