Friday, May 15, 2026
market intelligence
12 data sources · automated briefing
Bitcoin Edges Higher to $81,076
real rates restrictive at 1.16% · Fear & Greed at 34
Sentiment neutral at 34. Tape waiting for a catalyst. Real rate at +1.16% (restrictive). Yield curve post-inversion normalization. HY spread at 2.82% — credit markets pricing complacency. Positioning divergence: BTC: retail 38% long vs whales 47% long. ETH: retail 65% long vs whales 55% long. SOL: retail 68% long vs whales 60% long. Capital rotating into OKX, Lido, Bitfinex.
technical analysis
Signal Dashboard
| Asset | Signal | Conv. | RSI 1h | RSI 4h | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | neutral | | 57 | 54 | ▲ +2.24% |
| ETH | neutral | | 51 | 48 | ▲ +1.16% |
| SOL | neutral | | 50 | 47 | ▲ +1.12% |
| ATOM | neutral | | 51 | 52 | ▲ +0.34% |
| INIT | neutral | | 37 | 39 | ▼ -1.14% |
derivatives
Futures Positioning
federal reserve
Macro Intelligence
Post-Inversion Watch
Dalio framework · Real rate = Fed Funds (3.63%) − Breakeven (2.47%)
| Indicator | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Funds Rate | 3.63% | +0.00 |
| 10Y-2Y Spread | 0.48% | +0.02 |
| Breakeven Inflation | 2.47% | +0.00 |
| Unemployment | 4.3% | +0.00 |
| Trade-Weighted USD | 118.0392 | +0.03 |
| HY Spread | 2.82% | +0.00 |
Market Sentiment
0 = extreme fear · 100 = extreme greed
Market Overview
Key Signals
Prediction Markets
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on-chain flow