Sunday, May 24, 2026
market intelligence
12 data sources · automated briefing
Bitcoin Edges Higher to $76,636
real rates restrictive at 1.22% · Fear & Greed at 28
Sentiment neutral at 28. Tape waiting for a catalyst. Real rate at +1.22% (restrictive). Yield curve post-inversion normalization. HY spread at 2.78% — credit markets pricing complacency. Positioning divergence: ETH: retail 71% long vs whales 61% long. SOL: retail 74% long vs whales 61% long. Capital rotating into Lido, SSV Network, Aave V3.
technical analysis
Signal Dashboard
| Asset | Signal | Conv. | RSI 1h | RSI 4h | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | neutral | | 61 | 50 | ▲ +1.57% |
| ETH | bullish | | 64 | 53 | ▲ +2.60% |
| SOL | neutral | | 58 | 51 | ▲ +1.54% |
| ATOM | neutral | | 55 | 55 | ▲ +1.74% |
| INIT | neutral | | 52 | 46 | ▲ +2.47% |
derivatives
Futures Positioning
↗ shifting short — crowd getting fearful
↗ shifting short — crowd getting fearful
↗ shifting short — crowd getting fearful
federal reserve
Macro Intelligence
Post-Inversion Watch
Dalio framework · Real rate = Fed Funds (3.62%) − Breakeven (2.4%)
| Indicator | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Funds Rate | 3.62% | +0.00 |
| 10Y-2Y Spread | 0.43% | -0.06 |
| Breakeven Inflation | 2.4% | +0.01 |
| Unemployment | 4.3% | +0.00 |
| Trade-Weighted USD | 119.2825 | +0.61 |
| HY Spread | 2.78% | -0.02 |
Market Sentiment
0 = extreme fear · 100 = extreme greed
Market Overview
Key Signals
Prediction Markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
66% Yes · Vol: $5.8M
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
67% Yes · Vol: $4.3M
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
14% Yes · Vol: $3.8M
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
74% Yes · Vol: $872,927
on-chain flow