Monday, May 25, 2026
market intelligence
12 data sources · automated briefing
Bitcoin Holds Steady at $77,046
real rates restrictive at 1.22% · Fear & Greed at 25
Prices green while sentiment sits at Extreme Fear (25) — the disconnect between price action and fear is the story. Real rate at +1.22% (restrictive). Yield curve post-inversion normalization. HY spread at 2.78% — credit markets pricing complacency. Positioning divergence: ETH: retail 71% long vs whales 60% long. SOL: retail 74% long vs whales 66% long.
technical analysis
Signal Dashboard
| Asset | Signal | Conv. | RSI 1h | RSI 4h | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | neutral | | 58 | 54 | ▲ +0.49% |
| ETH | neutral | | 51 | 48 | ▼ -0.70% |
| SOL | neutral | | 50 | 49 | ▼ -0.42% |
| ATOM | neutral | | 46 | 48 | ▼ -2.70% |
| INIT | neutral | | 45 | 41 | ▼ -2.05% |
derivatives
Futures Positioning
↗ shifting long — crowd getting greedy
↗ shifting long — crowd getting greedy
federal reserve
Macro Intelligence
Post-Inversion Watch
Dalio framework · Real rate = Fed Funds (3.62%) − Breakeven (2.4%)
| Indicator | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Funds Rate | 3.62% | +0.00 |
| 10Y-2Y Spread | 0.43% | -0.06 |
| Breakeven Inflation | 2.4% | +0.01 |
| Unemployment | 4.3% | +0.00 |
| Trade-Weighted USD | 119.2825 | +0.61 |
| HY Spread | 2.78% | -0.02 |
Market Sentiment
0 = extreme fear · 100 = extreme greed
Market Overview
Key Signals
Prediction Markets
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on-chain flow