Thursday, June 11, 2026
market intelligence
12 data sources · automated briefing
Markets Grip Extreme Fear as Bitcoin Holds $61,456
real rates restrictive at 1.28% · Fear & Greed at 9
Market locked in Extreme Fear at 9. Retail has checked out. Real rate at +1.28% (restrictive). Yield curve post-inversion normalization. HY spread at 2.78% — credit markets pricing complacency. Positioning divergence: BTC: retail 68% long vs whales 53% long. ETH: retail 72% long vs whales 55% long. SOL: retail 78% long vs whales 62% long.
technical analysis
Signal Dashboard
| Asset | Signal | Conv. | RSI 1h | RSI 4h | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | bearish | | 45 | 44 | ▼ -0.40% |
| ETH | neutral | | 43 | 42 | ▼ -1.17% |
| SOL | neutral | | 39 | 39 | ▼ -2.80% |
| ATOM | neutral | | 44 | 50 | ▼ -1.07% |
| INIT | bearish | | 43 | 43 | ▼ -4.91% |
derivatives
Futures Positioning
↗ shifting long — crowd getting greedy
↗ shifting long — crowd getting greedy
federal reserve
Macro Intelligence
Post-Inversion Watch
Dalio framework · Real rate = Fed Funds (3.62%) − Breakeven (2.34%)
| Indicator | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Funds Rate | 3.62% | +0.00 |
| 10Y-2Y Spread | 0.42% | +0.02 |
| Breakeven Inflation | 2.34% | +0.01 |
| Unemployment | 4.3% | +0.00 |
| Trade-Weighted USD | 120.0831 | +0.72 |
| HY Spread | 2.78% | +0.03 |
Market Sentiment
0 = extreme fear · 100 = extreme greed
Market Overview
Key Signals
Prediction Markets
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
7% Yes · Vol: $3.5M
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
93% Yes · Vol: $1.3M
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
15% Yes · Vol: $1.2M
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
7% Yes · Vol: $679,801
on-chain flow